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School Research Seminar

Mobility and Political Upheaval in an Age of Inequality

Appropriate public policy on inequality hinges critically on understanding inequality's effects on the living conditions of the poor, on social mobility, and on nationalist populism. This paper describes two empirical regularities. First, an increase in inequality typically does not coincide with immiserisation of the poor and lower middle class. Over 80% of economies where inequality has risen since 2000 have also increased the average incomes of their populations' bottom 50%. Second, for political upheaval individual well-being and expectations on its trajectory matter more than does inequality. When these causal factors diverge, the role of inequality is, therefore, correspondingly diminished. Public policy needs to counter misinterpretation and disinformation on inequality with rigorous analysis and empirical evidence.

Seminar Room 3-1,
Level 3, Manasseh Meyer,
Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy,
National University of Singapore

Thu 13 February 2020
12:15 PM - 01:30 PM

Danny Quah

Danny Quah

Dean and Li Ka Shing Professor in Economics, LKYSPP, NUS

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Tan Poh Lin

Tan Poh Lin

Assistant Professor, LKYSPP