This case study examines the Indus Waters Treaty (IWT) – long regarded as a model of international cooperation – and its gradual transformation into a geopolitical instrument amid changing regional, environmental, and security dynamics in South Asia. Signed in 1960 under the auspices of the World Bank, the IWT divided the six rivers of the Indus Basin between India and Pakistan and established mechanisms for data sharing, technical collaboration and dispute resolution. For over six decades, it endured wars, political crises and regime changes, earning the reputation of a rare “success story” in water diplomacy. However, as climate change, population growth and recurring cross-border terrorism altered regional realities, the treaty’s framework began to strain. India’s growing developmental needs and Pakistan’s dependence on the Indus for agriculture have collided with shifting political agendas. India’s notices for modification of the treaty in 2023 and 2024, followed by the suspension of the IWT in April 2025 after a terror attack in Jammu and Kashmir, marked a watershed moment in South Asian hydro-politics. The case study discusses whether transboundary water treaties, originally designed for cooperation, can remain effective in an era when water has become securitised, politicised, and climate stressed.
Link to PDF: https://scholarbank.nus.edu.sg/handle/10635/314893