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Brown Bag Session

Infrastructural Agency: How Southeast Asian States Navigate the US-China Submarine Cable Competition

Submarine cables carry about 97% of global communications, underpin Southeast Asia’s digital economy, and have become increasingly contested. Yet, they remain under-theorized. Against this backdrop, this article examines how Southeast Asian states exercise agency over submarine cable infrastructure amid US-China technological rivalry. Through comparative analysis of Singapore, Vietnam, and Indonesia, and drawing on semi-structured interviews, official documents and secondary sources, we find that variations in institutional capacity, geographic position, and security vulnerability produce three distinct agency types. Singapore's high capacity, hub position, and low vulnerability enable "coordinating agency," leveraging technical excellence and network centrality to influence infrastructure outcomes while preserving neutrality. Vietnam's moderate capacity, frontier position, and high vulnerability drive "adaptive agency," steering infrastructure outcomes through pragmatic adjustments to evolving geopolitical contingencies. Indonesia's fragmented institutions, chokepoint position, and moderate vulnerability facilitate "gatekeeping agency," shaping infrastructure outcomes through strict control over access and complex approval processes. These findings extend theories of secondary state agency by demonstrating how Southeast Asian states make use of regulatory and institutional frameworks to balance pressures from great powers and maintain autonomy in undersea cable governance. Identifying these trajectories offers insights into regional connectivity, digital sovereignty, and the dynamics of techno-geopolitical competition.

MIA Classroon
Level 10, Tower Block
Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy
Thu 6 November 2025
12:15 PM - 01:30 PM