Futures Thinking and Scenario Planning |

Futures Thinking and Scenario Planning

Futures Thinking, through Scenario Planning and other tools, enhance the capacity of policymakers to anticipate change in complex environments, surface hidden assumptions, and to uncover weaknesses and inflexibilities in their organisations. Futures Thinking plays an important role in provoking policymakers out of their comfort zones, to consider the bigger systemic context beyond their immediate domains, and to activate the imagination, at both the individual and organisational levels, so that the future is not simply an extrapolation of the present.

Given the ever-increasing disruptions that policymakers face in their various policy domains, and where complex interconnections between socio-economic, political, technological and environmental forces are poorly understood, Futures Thinking helps to sensitise organisations to fundamental surprise by rehearsing for different futures through Scenario Planning, thus deepening their agility and resilience.

The Future Ready Singapore Project team, together with global experts and practitioners, will offer a masterclass on Futures Thinking and Scenario Planning on 17 – 21 July 2017.

Key Information

Programme date 17 Jul 2017 - 21 Jul 2017
Venue: Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy
National University of Singapore
469C Bukit Timah Road
Singapore 259772
Programme cost:

S$4,725 + 7% GST

#Group Discount: For three (3) paying participants from the same organisation, the fourth participant attends FREE.

*Fee is inclusive of lunch, refreshments and learning support materials

Contact:

Executive Education Department
Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy
National University of Singapore
469C Bukit Timah Road, Singapore 259772

Tel: (65) 6516 8697
Fax: (65) 6872 9291
Email: lkysppep@nus.edu.sg

Application Deadline: 19 Jun 2017

Programme Objectives

Through the programme, participants will:

  • Understand the philosophical underpinnings of Futures Thinking, and how it complements the strategic planning process in public policy organisations
  • Develop the necessary skills in Scenario Planning, including the scoping of a scenario project, the planning of the scenario workshops, and the development of scenario narrative frameworks
  • Learn the latest tools and frameworks that augment the Scenario Planning method, such as causal layered analysis (CLA) and different horizon scanning and “wild card” methodologies
  • Learn how to communicate scenarios to key decision makers within their own organisations and their broader networks

Target Audience

This masterclass is designed for policy analysts, researchers, managers and domain specialists who have responsibilities for long-term planning for their organisations. It is also useful for middle and senior level managers who might be commissioners and end-users of futures products such as scenarios and horizon-scanning reports.

Faculty

Donald Low
Associate Dean (Executive Education & Research) & Associate Professor (Practice), Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy

Donald Low is Associate Dean (Research and Executive Education) at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy. Besides leading the School’s executive education efforts, he also heads its Case Study Unit. His research interests at the School include economics in public policy, inequality and social spending, behavioural economics, public finance, organisational change, and governance and politics in Singapore.

Prior to his current appointment, Donald served 15 years in the Singapore government in various senior positions. During that time, he established the Centre for Public Economics at the Civil Service College of Singapore. He was Director of Fiscal Policy at the Ministry of Finance from 2004 to 2005, and Director of Strategic Policy Office in the Public Service Division from 2006 to 2007. Donald holds a double first in Politics, Philosophy and Economics from Oxford University, and a Masters in International Public Policy from The Johns Hopkins University’s School of Advanced International Studies. He is currently Vice President at the Economics Society of Singapore.

Dr. Adrian Kuah
Senior Research Fellow & Head (Research Support Unit) Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy

Dr Adrian Kuah is Senior Research Fellow at the LKY School of Public Policy. His research interests include futures studies, complexity science and political philosophy (focusing on pragmatism). Adrian started his career in the civil service as an economist in the Monetary Authority of Singapore. He then worked in the private sector as a business strategy consultant before embarking on an academic career with the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS), Nanyang Technological University. As Assistant Professor in the Military Studies programme, he taught on the MSc programmes as well as the Goh Keng Swee Command and Staff College’s courses.

He returned to the civil service in 2013 as Lead Strategist in the Centre for Strategic Futures, Strategic Policy Office, Prime Minister’s Office, where he was involved in Whole-of-Government futures research and scenario planning. He led a team of researchers in analysing complex, cross-cutting public policy issues across the social, economic, infrastructure and security domains. He joined the LKY School in July 2015. Adrian obtained his Bachelor of Arts (Honours) degree in Economics and Politics from the University of York, graduating with first class honours, followed by his Master of Arts degree in International Politics from the University of Warwick. He earned his Doctor of Philosophy degree in Defence Policy and Economics from Cranfield University, where his doctoral studies were fully funded by RSIS.

Cheryl Chung
Deputy Director of Strategic Planning, Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy

Cheryl Chung is the Deputy Director of Strategic Planning at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy. Prior to joining the School, Cheryl worked for the Singapore Government for 12 years where she led foresight and strategy activities across several ministry portfolios. Her work mainly focused on the intersection of technology, economic and regulatory policy. She was most recently the Lead Strategist of the Futures Division at the Ministry of Transport, where she helped to start up the Ministry’s futures work. The Division looked at future of transportation issues across air, land and sea and Cheryl led the Ministry’s work on Autonomous Vehicles (AVs), developing the vision for AVs in Singapore and putting in place the policy, regulatory and technology framework to support eventual AV deployment on public roads.

Cheryl’s past postings include the Centre for Strategic Futures and the Strategic Policy Office at the Public Service Division of the Prime Minister’s Office. In that role, she led their Emerging Strategic Issues project and as well as research on the evolving role of the state. Cheryl started her strategic foresight career at the Ministry of Trade and Industry’s Futures Group. In her spare time, Cheryl volunteers as a Project Director with Conjunct Consulting and is active in the social innovation sector.

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